2024-12-14 08:42:38
Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Food stocks fell at the beginning of the day, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and Jialong shares, Anji Food, Huang Shanghuang, three squirrels, and Barbie Foods followed suit.
HKEx: The database of integrated fund platform funds was launched, and the database of integrated fund platform funds was announced by HKEx, covering more than 2,000 funds approved by the Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming at improving the information transparency of Hong Kong fund investment products.Domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower, while domestic insurance in Hong Kong stocks and Chinese brokerage stocks fluctuated lower. Guolian Securities fell more than 5%, followed by New China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, China Life Insurance, China Merchants Securities and china galaxy.The Nikkei 225 index fell to 1%.
Tik Tok bean bag concept stocks opened lower and went higher, three-dimensional communication rose daily, Zhejiang-Wenzhou Internet, Zhangyue Technology and Guangbo shares rose sharply.The change in the concept of ice and snow industry has boosted the daily limit of iceberg cold and snowman shares, while the change in the concept of ice and snow industry has boosted the daily limit of iceberg cold and snow, snowman shares and Rhine Sports, and Sanfu Outdoor, Dalian Shengya, Changbai Mountain and Yuanlongyatu have followed suit.The Japanese side hyped China's threat to return to the old road of military expansion. Recently, Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao delivered a policy address saying that Chinese aircraft carriers sailed in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. In this regard, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, said that the Japanese side's hype about the so-called "China military threat" was just to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and taking the old road of military expansion again. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. (CCTV)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14